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Biffbarf
February, 2025

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Hey East Coasters...lets track the first (potential) snow storm of the season in here!

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Bombogenesis
Posts: 1985 - Karma: 4,022
the drum beats are getting louder for the first widespread snowstorm for the Northeast during the beginning part of next week. Nice high pressure draining down some cold air from the north and preventing the storm from cutting too far north. The signal has been getting a bit stronger on each successive model run, and while far from set in stone it's looking pretty good for at least getting some white on the ground. Here's a snapshot from tonights 00z (overnight) GFS (Global Forecast System). These maps are not to be taken verbatim as sometimes sleet/freezing rain can be tallied as snow.




Newest model is coming in right now (11:26 EST) and it's looking pretty good so far. The blue / red dotted lines are the temperature at 850 mb, or roughly 5000 feet. Anything above 540 is above freezing, and 850mb is considered a critical part of the atmosphere to have below freezing to get substantial snow. Notice the high placement.



It's centered roughly over Quebec, and since highs spin clockwise cold air will be funneled down from far NE canada right into the precipitation.


It's still really early but there's finally something to track. I'll post more maps as they come out. Merry Christmas hopefully it's finally time to get this party started!
Dec 24 2015 11:28PM
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Bombogenesis
Posts: 1985 - Karma: 4,022
Dec 24 2015 11:30PM
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PeppermillReno
Posts: 4882 - Karma: -791
Here it comes. Doubt this is a long winter late March-April should be warmer than normal but theres going to be 2 intense months of extreme cold (like a lot of what you don't want to ski in) and snow.

Since the weather is acting so whacky when it does get cold it probably won't be too dry should be some good storms.
Dec 25 2015 1:47AM
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Brule.
Posts: 3967 - Karma: 6,559
http://www.weather.com/forecast/national/news/winter-storm-goliath-forecast-snow-blizzard

They're forecasting moderate to heavy snow for the mountains in NY and New England! Mainly through Wednesday, though.
Dec 25 2015 1:19PM
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Bombogenesis
Posts: 1985 - Karma: 4,022
and just like that, it looks like crap except for NNE. Wow lol.
Dec 25 2015 1:32PM
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SkiBum.
Posts: 3604 - Karma: 3,973
Bombogenesisand just like that, it looks like crap except for NNE. Wow lol.


Went from 100 to 0 real quick

See what the run tomorrow does...I bet it changes 2 more times both ways before the end of the weekend
Dec 25 2015 2:43PM
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Charlie_Kelly
Posts: 11955 - Karma: 12,302
8-12 forecasted for Plymouth, NH. 100% chance. Lets get it, hope Im not working.
Dec 25 2015 2:59PM
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SkiBum.
Posts: 3604 - Karma: 3,973
Granite_State8-12 forecasted for Plymouth, NH. 100% chance. Lets get it, hope Im not working.


Current data says wrong answer.

But hope it goes back to looking like snow.
Dec 25 2015 3:28PM
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Bombogenesis
Posts: 1985 - Karma: 4,022
SkiBum.Went from 100 to 0 real quick

See what the run tomorrow does...I bet it changes 2 more times both ways before the end of the weekend


pretty hardcore consensus now between all of the global models. Warm warm warm. Rain into VT/NH/ME
Dec 25 2015 3:33PM
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Charlie_Kelly
Posts: 11955 - Karma: 12,302
SkiBum.Current data says wrong answer.

But hope it goes back to looking like snow.


We're getting rain tomorrow or the next day I thought. Then snow on tuesday. Im talking the tuesday storm
Dec 25 2015 4:41PM
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Mingg
Posts: 14014 - Karma: 50,121
THANK GOD. Hopefully Western New York gets hit as hard as they are saying! This would be about a week before I head out to Whistler so to get out before I leave would be soooo sick!
Dec 25 2015 9:03PM
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PeppermillReno
Posts: 4882 - Karma: -791
Is a foot on Tuesday even going to be skiiable with no base underneath anywhere?


What do you all think is the necessary amount for areas to open up trails/lifts that are currently closed and make it worth the drive during the holidays?

Don't get me wrong though this could provide a perfect quick base a foot of slushy with a quick melt and then the freeze/cold front coming in could cover up tons of rocks pronto and make everything without snowmaking good to go after the next storm hits.
Dec 25 2015 10:03PM
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kung_powpow
Posts: 1990 - Karma: 3,671
Don't worry guys the West sucks too, only 18-40+ inches across CO this past week


Dec 25 2015 10:19PM
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infedel_one
Posts: 5140 - Karma: 444
kung_powpowDon't worry guys the West sucks too, only 18-40+ inches across CO this past week




get outa here, we don't like your kind!
Dec 26 2015 1:09AM
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theabortionator
Posts: 52266 - Karma: 169,964
I don't even care about the snow at the moment as the cold temps. We just need some proper cold temps for a few days so places can hammer out the manmade. Once people get up and running I'll care more about the natural.

If we got both I wouldn't complain, tough start though.
Dec 26 2015 1:38AM
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1337
Posts: 31073 - Karma: 29,599
Crossing my fingers the forecast holds true for Sugarloaf :)

Saturday night - Sunday 6-11"
Tuesday 11-17"

http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:04947.3.99999
Dec 26 2015 2:39AM
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cwillygood
Posts: 6831 - Karma: 1,829
PeppermillRenoIs a foot on Tuesday even going to be skiiable with no base underneath anywhere?


What do you all think is the necessary amount for areas to open up trails/lifts that are currently closed and make it worth the drive during the holidays?

Don't get me wrong though this could provide a perfect quick base a foot of slushy with a quick melt and then the freeze/cold front coming in could cover up tons of rocks pronto and make everything without snowmaking good to go after the next storm hits.


definitely not in the woods maybe some trails..
Dec 26 2015 12:06PM
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SSteezle
Posts: 9453 - Karma: 2,579
looks like the loaf is getting the most, so I'll be there if the forecast holds
Dec 26 2015 9:44PM
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grilled_steeze
Posts: 422 - Karma: 1,448
hopefully Gore and Whiteface get nothing but snow. 5 trails at gore and 10 at whiteface. Its been too damn warm for snowmaking.
Dec 28 2015 6:44AM
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bdarb207
Posts: 3057 - Karma: 443
I'll def be headed up to sugarloaf tomorrow, shoot me a message on facebook (brad darby) if you want to ride, I wont be checking this.
Dec 28 2015 10:04AM
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Bombogenesis
Posts: 1985 - Karma: 4,022
this really shit the bed for all but the furthest north parts of New England
Dec 28 2015 10:21AM
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louie.mirags
Posts: 6015 - Karma: 5,027
freezing rain predicted for the Catskills :(
Dec 28 2015 11:16AM
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louie.mirags
Posts: 6015 - Karma: 5,027
louie.miragsfreezing rain predicted for the Catskills :(


I take that back, the highest elevations are expecting 3-5" but then switching to freezing rain. Lower elevations are expecting freezing rain into all rain
Dec 28 2015 11:19AM
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PeppermillReno
Posts: 4882 - Karma: -791
My pass is blacked out so I wasn't fuckin with this anyways but it looks like everywhere north will get a real nice slushy layer to cover the rocks before the cold temps come and freeze it all up. Good for the trees and all that.
Dec 28 2015 12:27PM
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CheddarJack
Posts: 5203 - Karma: 7,380
SourSteezlelooks like the loaf is getting the most, so I'll be there if the forecast holds


Same here. Probably going up Wednesday. Let's just hope that rain/ice forecast for late Wednesday doesn't happen... or at the very least holds off so Wednesday can be a full day of great skiing :)
Dec 28 2015 2:08PM
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GayWolf420
Posts: 37883 - Karma: 126,819
whats the deal with this storm in the Midwest/east? my sisters trapped here in Utah with her BF (not a bad thing tbh) and cant get back to Detroit due to massive delays/cancellations. hopefully you guys get in on some of the fun.
Dec 28 2015 2:27PM
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Mingg
Posts: 14014 - Karma: 50,121
It's hitting Buffalo right now, snowed for an hour and now it's sleeting/raining and windy as fuck.
Dec 28 2015 9:03PM
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creaturelo
Posts: 628 - Karma: 12,066
update from ct: nothing is happening and I call bullshit, also winter is a conspiracy and i am angry.
Dec 28 2015 9:10PM
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-benedetto
Posts: 5238 - Karma: 1,359
~2 inches of crusty snow followed by sleet, rain and ice on my drive to work this morning as expected. Location: Very Southern Catskills
Dec 29 2015 8:58AM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,684
ICE ICE ICE
Dec 29 2015 11:00AM
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theabortionator
Posts: 52266 - Karma: 169,964
We got 4 inches I think. then a little wintery mix packed it down. That said not bad. Also had temps under 20 so the guns were cranking last night.

So far it only stuck twice where I live and both was for a fay or so tops. This looks like it might hold even in patches for a week or so, if the temps drop, maybe actually start building a base.
Dec 29 2015 2:55PM
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SSteezle
Posts: 9453 - Karma: 2,579
ended up shredding sunday river. They reported 10 inches but I'd say it was more like 6 and then changed to sleet pellets. The morning was the best but overall still an awesome day, would have liked more snow but it was a good start!
Dec 29 2015 9:03PM
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a_burger
Posts: 5248 - Karma: 20,896
heard the sleet at 3am, shut off my alarm and rolled up to mt wachusett at like 1:30. The shitty sleet actually worked out though, the 3 inches of pellets skied well and froze to the grass so you could ski pretty much anywhere even though there was no base.
Dec 29 2015 10:19PM
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theabortionator
Posts: 52266 - Karma: 169,964
Yo jerry, get the fuck outta my way, I'm drivin here




My 5 hour drive yesterday through it. Other than some cunt almost putting me into a guardrail, and flying past people that were practically stopped, it was fairly uneventful.
Dec 29 2015 11:22PM
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