El Niño!

The SST anomaly probably isn't even going to hit the +0.5C threshold required for it to be considered an El Nino event. Really what that means is that anything is possible. ENSO neutral years are almost impossible to predict, and tend to be the years with the most anomalous events.

it gon snow

caseycit gon snow

/thread

Bc and the pnw typically don't fair too well in Tl Nino years. Sometime around mid January the storms come in warm and wet. The cold air from Alaska doesn't meet up with the wet air from Hawaii off shore line normal so the wet comes in warm. The last few El Nino years we saw freezing levels up around 3000m with rain.

Sierra nevadas are typically the place to be during an El Niño winter. Even though I am in bc I actually hope it's a El Niño year because the Sierra nevadas need a big snowpack this winter.

Of course - it's weather/climate, so what is actually going to happen in the next 6 months is anybody's guess.

Back in May everyone was calling for a strong El Niño winter, and now the pattern is barely considered an El Niño pattern like someone said.

Like always anything can happen. However from looking at data from previous El Niño years (strong or weak I don't know) the general trend is that the PNW struggles and Arizona, New Mexico, southern CO, and parts of Cali have better winters.