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November, 2024

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El Niño!

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CradleFills
Posts: 35 - Karma: 20
Whats up shredders! So as we all have heard El Niño is supposed to take place this year. What i am looking for is a little information about this topic. I'm going to Whistler at the end of January and I was wondering how this will affect my trip. Any information will help! Thank you.
Oct 20 2014 2:54PM
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p-fo
Posts: 9372 - Karma: 6,155
The SST anomaly probably isn't even going to hit the +0.5C threshold required for it to be considered an El Nino event. Really what that means is that anything is possible. ENSO neutral years are almost impossible to predict, and tend to be the years with the most anomalous events.
Oct 20 2014 3:08PM
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casey_cope
Posts: 675 - Karma: 3,398
it gon snow
Oct 20 2014 7:12PM
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Duck_Sauce
Posts: 288 - Karma: 4,002
caseycit gon snow


/thread
Oct 20 2014 7:12PM
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Drail
Posts: 14012 - Karma: 10,011
Bc and the pnw typically don't fair too well in Tl Nino years. Sometime around mid January the storms come in warm and wet. The cold air from Alaska doesn't meet up with the wet air from Hawaii off shore line normal so the wet comes in warm. The last few El Nino years we saw freezing levels up around 3000m with rain.

Sierra nevadas are typically the place to be during an El Niño winter. Even though I am in bc I actually hope it's a El Niño year because the Sierra nevadas need a big snowpack this winter.

Of course - it's weather/climate, so what is actually going to happen in the next 6 months is anybody's guess.
Oct 20 2014 8:36PM
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Z-Juice
Posts: 3151 - Karma: 1,504
Back in May everyone was calling for a strong El Niño winter, and now the pattern is barely considered an El Niño pattern like someone said.

Like always anything can happen. However from looking at data from previous El Niño years (strong or weak I don't know) the general trend is that the PNW struggles and Arizona, New Mexico, southern CO, and parts of Cali have better winters.
Oct 21 2014 12:19AM
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