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You have a point, for sure. And if you weigh contest results fairly heavily (and there's no reason that they shouldn't be) you're probably right (although in that case where is Bobby).
His stuff with L1P was good and still video-game level stuff but among film parts he wasn't at the top of the pack this year. But he wasn't last year or the year before either and yet he'll always be in the finals of this kind of a contest because it's Tom. It doesn't really matter how he skis, he'll get lots and lots of votes. And it doesn't matter how a guy like, say, Sage skis, because he won't.