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2011 2012 winter outlook

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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
Are there any outlooks out this early? If so post them up in this thread
Aug 6 2011 11:32AM
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a_pla5tic_bag
Posts: 9219 - Karma: 5,403
i predict skiing will occur.

or you guys out west can send some of your record shattering snow east.
Aug 6 2011 11:34AM
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J.S.
Posts: 359 - Karma: 74
http://unofficialnetworks.com/winter-weather-forecast-20112012-extreme-winter-parts-31096/
Aug 6 2011 11:49AM
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.Hugo.
Posts: 17360 - Karma: 28,488
That's weird. I read something 2 days ago saying it was going to be a warm winter with not very much snow. Conclusion: How the fuck can they predict it this far away when they can't even get tomorrow's weather right.
Aug 6 2011 11:56AM
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sammy_
Posts: 1597 - Karma: 467
hahaah exactly what i was thinking. anyone who is saying what the weather is going to be like this winter, its a guess. just got to wait and see. i hope its a snowy one in the east
Aug 6 2011 12:09PM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
Last year the forecasts around this time were right, I gotta have something to get stoked on with school starting soon
Aug 6 2011 7:14PM
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crab_pretzel
Posts: 3919 - Karma: 622
i second this. please.
Aug 6 2011 7:52PM
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icyburr
Posts: 455 - Karma: 1,576
i predict that there will be snow at least once on the west coast mountains.
Aug 6 2011 8:07PM
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Imagination
Posts: 2501 - Karma: 73
No, you really think so?
Aug 6 2011 8:35PM
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chuck_testa
Posts: 1469 - Karma: 52
Well the trend that keeps going on is hotter dryer summers and colder snowier winters. This year im hopeing for the 300 in. at mrg. This past year was like 5 inches short. Haha east coast
Aug 6 2011 8:51PM
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forrest-cole
Posts: 1145 - Karma: 495
Hoping for another 1000+ year! LA NINA!!!
Aug 7 2011 1:41AM
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bakedpow
Posts: 8770 - Karma: 10,467
NOAA has seen shifts in the weather patterns that strongly suggests the PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) is negative. PDO weather patterns are decades long, as the name suggests and it being negative means colder more severe weather.

NOAA is wrong sometimes, and very correct other times. Hopefully they're right...
Aug 7 2011 1:51AM
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Dwarftosser1
Posts: 2602 - Karma: 951
Well snowmaking starts October 1st, but hopefully temps will drop before that. I'm hoping for a season like the last one, lasting into July again.
Aug 7 2011 2:06AM
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TheGnarwhal
Posts: 871 - Karma: 49
Hope it's better than last year over here in Europe. It snowed 4 times in my resort throughout the whole winter ._. 4 TIMES!
Aug 7 2011 4:48AM
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NPF
Posts: 5152 - Karma: 12,119
HELL NO! its all ours....MUWHOHAHAHAHA
Aug 7 2011 5:45AM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
Last year was crazy for the east, and I really hope their right when they said we will see a repeat of last year
Aug 7 2011 8:35AM
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RIP_leos_shack
Posts: 718 - Karma: 3,364
Well last year was amazing for northern/central co, hopefully it does repeat itself.
Aug 7 2011 10:26AM
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CaptainSlow
Posts: 717 - Karma: 930
Yeah last year up at Keystone, Copper, Breck was incredible so i hope for another year like that
Aug 7 2011 10:41AM
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.frenchy
Posts: 18231 - Karma: 12,390

Specifically, CONNECTICUT.

But really, CT got like one of the snowiest winters on record last year, I hope we get even more this year!

Aug 7 2011 10:44AM
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sammy_
Posts: 1597 - Karma: 467
and vermont..
Aug 7 2011 12:16PM
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MothaHucker
Posts: 4678 - Karma: 2,591

*most of the time

but lets hope!

Aug 7 2011 1:28PM
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.frenchy
Posts: 18231 - Karma: 12,390

Yup that too.

Aug 7 2011 3:12PM
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bakedpow
Posts: 8770 - Karma: 10,467
Well this time they seem to have some pretty good logic behind it. To put it simply the La Nina is supposed to persist, and you know what that means...
Aug 7 2011 6:50PM
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TACO-DOG.exe
Posts: 11989 - Karma: 12,264
well we are all only going to get a half a season since the world is ending and all.....
Aug 7 2011 7:08PM
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Dwarftosser1
Posts: 2602 - Karma: 951
But not till December 21st!
Aug 7 2011 7:10PM
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.Hugo.
Posts: 17360 - Karma: 28,488
thats 2012...
Aug 7 2011 7:16PM
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cum
Posts: 308 - Karma: 8
LOL wrong year, bud
Aug 7 2011 7:29PM
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.nasty
Posts: 10582 - Karma: 11,181
EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
4 August 2011
ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Watch
Synopsis: ENSO-neutral is expected to continue into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2011, with ENSO-neutral or La Niña equally likely thereafter.
During July 2011, ENSO-neutral was reflected in the overall pattern of small sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies across the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Fig. 1). All of the latest weekly Niño index values were generally near average (Fig. 2), ranging from –0.2°C (Niño-3.4) to 0.5°C (Niño-1+2). However, the subsurface oceanic heat content anomaly (average temperature anomalies in the upper 300m of the ocean, Fig. 3) continued to weaken and is currently near zero, which reflects the strengthening of the below-average temperatures at depth in the east-central Pacific Ocean (Fig. 4). The atmospheric circulation anomalies were more variable during the past month, but the monthly means still reflect aspects of La Niña. For example, convection continued to be enhanced over eastern Indonesia and Papua New Guinea, and generally suppressed over the central equatorial Pacific, mainly south of the equator (Fig. 5). Also, anomalous low-level easterly and upper-level westerly winds persisted over the central tropical Pacific. Thus, while tropical Pacific oceanic anomalies indicate ENSO-neutral, the atmospheric patterns continue to reflect La Niña-like conditions.
The majority of ENSO models, and all multi-model average forecasts (indicated by thicker lines, Fig. 6), indicate ENSO-neutral will continue into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2011 (three-month average in the Nino-3.4 index between –0.5°C and +0.5°C). Beyond the early fall, the forecasts are less certain with half of the models persisting ENSO-neutral conditions continuously through early 2012. Along with a few other models, the latest runs from the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) models predict La Niña to re-develop during the fall (Fig. 7). This forecast is also supported by the ongoing La Niña-like tropical atmosphere, subsurface temperature trends, and the historical tendency for significant wintertime La Niña episodes to be followed by relatively weaker La Niña episodes the following winter. Therefore, ENSO-neutral is expected to continue into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2011, with ENSO-neutral or La Niña equally likely thereafter.







SPARKNOTES: neutral winter ahead most likely until february. then likely a weak la nina from then on for the rest of winter. This means equal chances of moisture/colder temps throughout the entire U.S./Canada (only place of better chances for moisture is hawaii, go figure).
Aug 7 2011 8:51PM
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TACO-DOG.exe
Posts: 11989 - Karma: 12,264
a strike of retard hit me while posting that,

please excuse my ignorance
Aug 7 2011 9:01PM
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Inline.
Posts: 4424 - Karma: 432
Hahaha I was going to say this, but then you saved me
Aug 8 2011 2:09AM
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.Hugo.
Posts: 17360 - Karma: 28,488
lol and you now have 2012 posts
Aug 8 2011 6:54AM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
Click for larger image



just new from accuweather... looking good for the east, just keep those fingers crossed
Aug 9 2011 2:16PM
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_DUSTY_
Posts: 1097 - Karma: 686
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/image_e.html?img=s234fe1p_s


Canada looks like we might get less than average snow, I hope the weather guys are wrong.
Aug 9 2011 2:33PM
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PartyHon
Posts: 2019 - Karma: 425
that dark blue on the left needs to move like 30 mile to the west over sandpoint
Aug 9 2011 2:33PM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
that's only September October November, don't worry
Aug 9 2011 2:35PM
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sammy_
Posts: 1597 - Karma: 467
i hope this is right
Aug 9 2011 2:50PM
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crab_pretzel
Posts: 3919 - Karma: 622
it would be nice if the east coast blue could creep just a liiiiitle east to cover up the exposed strip of central maryland. then id be happy
Aug 9 2011 3:05PM
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Cheezcake.
Posts: 721 - Karma: 22
fuck yeah central wyoming!

why am i even getting my hopes up. -_____-
Aug 9 2011 3:13PM
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bakedpow
Posts: 8770 - Karma: 10,467
Wrong.
Aug 10 2011 5:06AM
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weiler
Posts: 735 - Karma: 654
Stoked if this is accurate Minneapolis/St.Paul, MN is lookin really good
Aug 10 2011 9:31AM
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.nasty
Posts: 10582 - Karma: 11,181
idk where you found this map. but I wouldn't count on this, although I wouldn't mind it being in Northern CO
Aug 10 2011 1:08PM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
got it off accuweather
Aug 10 2011 4:58PM
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chuck_testa
Posts: 1469 - Karma: 52
FUCK YEAH EAST COAST
Aug 10 2011 5:14PM
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.nasty
Posts: 10582 - Karma: 11,181
where? in the 11/12 outlook thread?
Aug 10 2011 5:23PM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
no just on the accuweather site
Aug 10 2011 7:11PM
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Captain_Slow
Posts: 1677 - Karma: 24
yeeahhhhhh NY
Aug 10 2011 8:06PM
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.ZT.
Posts: 5679 - Karma: 2,792
boston got like 4 feet in a storm
Aug 10 2011 8:57PM
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HamFaceGirl
Posts: 5242 - Karma: 2,676
bump
Aug 12 2011 8:52AM
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hokkanee
Posts: 1800 - Karma: 435
shit
Aug 12 2011 12:09PM
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CaptainSlow
Posts: 717 - Karma: 930
Dang front range ain't lookin so good this year
Aug 14 2011 11:00AM
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lands11
Posts: 1818 - Karma: 1,677
Boston got fucking hammered last year
Aug 14 2011 1:01PM
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