Replying to Oscar Picks 2011

Hey guys,

I just finished watching all 10 Best Pic Nominees.  I haven't seen all of the films nominated for all awards, but I have a decent gauge of how I'd like things to play out.  I'm sure everyone has pretty different opinions, so I was wonder how you all want it to play out (at least for the major categories). 

I realize there are infinite reasons to hate the Oscars, and I share many of these sentiments, but maybe leave them out of this thread...?

Best Picture: Toy Story 3
Actor: James Franco - 127 Hours
Supporting Actor: Geoffrey Rush - King's Speech
Actress: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfield - True Grit
Cinematography: Matthew Libatique
Director: David Fincher - Social Network
Documentary: Exit through the Gift Shop
Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
Screenplay: Undecided...