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Unlike most of the conservatives at my school, who are either A) stupid/ignorant or B) inbreds, there are some Republicans on NS who have some really good opinions. So, who will be the next GOP candidate? Even though Obama hasn't been doing so hot in the eyes of Americans, the Tea Party nonsense might end up really hurting conservatives...
Oh, and disclosure, this will probably just turn into a political shit storm.
He looks like a cool dude, and from what I've seen of him being interviewed he's incredibly bright.
There's still the issue of being a Mormon, it's not so much that Mormon's supposedly take more than one wife..it's the fact he believes that a man named Joseph Smith looked at golden plates given to him by an Angel, and that Jesus spent time with Israelites in America 1000 years before the Vikings...all of this with no proof whatsoever.
I'd say the same thing to anyone who believes in any type of god...just saying, look at the candidate for his experience and record. Romney's speaks for itself. His Romneycare health plan has been disastrous in MA though, so that could come back to haunt him.
I agree with you, but this is just a whole other level of idiocy. There's a line that Mormonism crosses, it goes from being kinda dumb..to offensively stupid.
im not saying thats why people SHOULD not vote for him. i just see his religion being an issue.
and delphi, i think you are putting too much faith in those polls.
i still think theres going to be a conservative split. ron paul, or some other libertarian true conservative is going to get the tea partiers and folks of that sort, and the republicans are going to go with another hypocritical "conservative when its convenient for me and my purposes" candidate. that candidate will pick up the moderates, and people who just vote repub, regardless of candidate.
obama meanwhile will pick up all the dems, and again turn out the youth vote like crazy (something i dont think those polls take into account). he runs a damn good campaign, regardless of policy, and i have no doubt hell do the same again in '12.
excluding any extreme circumstances, obama will win again in '12.
not saying whether he should or shouldnt based on actual success, but he will.
I agree with you on the split vote part, which is why in the midterms I'm hoping no one pulls a dumbass move and runs as "tea party" candidate. If a bunch of people run as third-party candidates, we're fucked and all the dem incumbents will get re-elected. I'm fine with people running on a tea party platform, but the second they draw votes away from the republicans, I will not be happy. If the tea party can unite behind a single candidate like Romney, Obama will have a real rough go. These are the same people who got Scott Brown elected in MA, which was unheard of. Obama won't be re-elected, I am calling it right now, and I'm willing to stand by it. I doubt I will eat my words, but NS is my witness and you all can hold me to it.
the problem is that i think that if you only have 1 candidate, i think some people just plain wont vote.
if its a tea party backed libertarian style guy, i think a lot of moderate republicans just wont come out and vote at all. same the other way. if there is a moderate republican, i can see a lot of tea partiers just saying meh, id rather not vote than for someone who doesnt stand for what i believe in.
or just run their own candidate. i have a feeling while republicans may see the tea partiers as a blessing now, they may find them to be a nuisance in the future. not to mention some republicans dont really want to be identified with the tea partiers in the first place.
they may have gotten brown elected, but he was pretty quick to say that they werent responsible for his victory.
it will be an interesting midterm election regardless. but again, i dont think that dems losing seats will be a referendum on obama, because most of them dont run a campaign like he does.
not to mention, i think incumbents in general are in trouble this election, a lot of people i think are just going to vote for ANYONE, to get the people that currently inhabit the Capitol building OUT.