http://www.erh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapClick.php?site=BUF&llon=-79.242083&rlon=-78.354583&tlat=43.067917&blat=42.180417&smap=1&mp=0&map.x=162&map.y=140
That location is Kissing Bridge.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ085&warncounty=NYC029&local_place1=Glenwood&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook
Lake Erie is 47 degrees. That ties a record for the warmest it has ever been on this date. With it being in the teens at night, it could make for some intense lake snow.